{"id":6720,"date":"2021-01-06T20:45:23","date_gmt":"2021-01-06T20:45:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/chief-exec.com\/?p=6720"},"modified":"2021-01-26T10:00:30","modified_gmt":"2021-01-26T10:00:30","slug":"covid-19-update-06-01-21-featuring-japan","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/chief-exec.com\/?p=6720","title":{"rendered":"Covid-19 Analytics: 06-01-21 featuring Japan"},"content":{"rendered":"

A background to this update can be found in an introductory article<\/a> to the Chief-Exec.com<\/em> Covid Analytics platform.<\/p>\n

Featuring Japan<\/strong><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>

The dashed line gives the level above which MB Temp<\/i> values are associated with a declining number of daily viral infections<\/p><\/div>\n

The overall pattern of SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus infection in Japan largely follows that of other counties reported here. A small initial wave of infections was effectively supressed by measures which raised a viral temperature estimate, which we call MB Temp<\/em>, well above the 111 threshold that appears as the dashed line in the above graph.<\/p>\n

For 50 days following this first wave of coronavirus infections daily cases of infection practically disappeared, suggesting that the pandemic was under control, but throughout this period of calm MB Temp<\/em> continued to fall to a point at which a second epidemic wave was initiated, with a previously observed phase-shift<\/a> possibly setting the conditions for an episode of exponential growth.<\/p>\n

As with most of the countries shown below, changes of MB Temp<\/em> are inversely related to the changes in daily infections, with 111 appearing as a threshold at which infection levels stabilise and above which infections fall. Most recently, over the past 70 days in Japan, MB Temp<\/em> estimates have been almost entirely less than 111, cumulatively resulting in a gradual growth of infections, which nevertheless remain at relatively low rates compared to other parts of the world.<\/p>\n

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Japan to declare virus state of emergency in Tokyo region.<\/p>\n

But the new month-long restrictions coming into force today will be far less strict than lockdowns in other parts of the world and softer than Japan’s first state of emergency last springhttps:\/\/t.co\/MdP6XKHTfJ<\/a> pic.twitter.com\/TWS19MusV2<\/a><\/p>\n

\u2014 AFP News Agency (@AFP) January 7, 2021<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n